All right. This is complicated, but I’ll try to be clear and straightforward.
We have two issues that demonstrate the opportunity and the danger before us. Both lend themselves to Mother Nature metaphors, as befits life changing challenges. One is a hurricane. The other is an iceberg.
The hurricane is ObamaCare, still building at sea. So far, it has done the equivalent of knocking down houses in the Bahamas, a bad thing but still far from where most of us live. Some hope it will spend its fury before making landfall in the Continental U.S., but the smart money is on a slow, inevitable course toward devastating ruin — of health insurance, health care, and ultimately the economy as a whole and a considerable number of human lives.
The iceberg seems paltry in comparison, but it isn’t. The chief feature of an iceberg is that it is ever so much larger under the surface of the water than the part you can see above the water. The iceberg is immigration reform. It seems small compared to ObamaCare, but it isn’t.
Its importance is that it enables us to see the true nature of the leadership conservatives are presently being asked to trust in defeating the statist progressive regime of which ObamaCare is the catastrophic apotheosis.
What is plain to see is that Republican congressional and other leaders, including some governors and many pundits, are planning to do a deal on amnesty, confident that the slow unfolding of the ObamaCare Armageddon will provide political cover for defying the long expressed political will of their base, which is NOT to give amnesty to illegal aliens. John Boehner, Paul Ryan, Eric Kantor, John McCain, Lindsey Graham, and who knows how many other so-called conservatives are perfectly willing to subvert the rule of law and ratify an effective invasion of the United States by a low-skilled underclass of non-English speaking immigrants well populated by felons, parasites on government largesse, and a demonstrated uninterest in assimilation.
Why? They think they can get away with it, despite the plummeting in the polls experienced by Marco Rubio when he pursued immigration reform in the belief that charisma could overcome the convictions formed by people’s personal experience. They think they can get away with it because ObamaCare will, by 2014 and 2016, so dominate the political landscape that lesser betrayals will no longer matter. That’s the visible part of the iceberg.
But there’s another why that speaks to the massive concealed body of ice under the surface. Why so blatantly and recklessly ignore the will of their own constituents? Because their most important loyalty is to the lobbyists who finance their political careers, not to the mere voters whom they count on to believe in their devotion to principle.
There are a lot of big businesses who want cheap immigrant labor. They are the contributors to the PACs and SuperPACs the ambitious need to go the next step in their political careers. Which means the Republican establishment is as hooked on crony capitalism as Obama and Company are. Only we’re not supposed to notice the difference because we need them to oppose — eventually, partially, slightly at least — the killer storm called ObamaCare.
Don’t be fooled. They’re card carrying members of America’s new political class too. If we can’t trust them on immigration legislation, we can’t trust them on anything. They can be bought and probably already have been. Current rumors are that union funds are financing PACs supporting Republican incumbents against tea party challengers.
Which means the Republican Party is already dead.
I remind you of the title: The Long Game. We need a new party, built from the grassroots of the tea parties. There is precedent:
The Whig Party was a political party active in the early 19th century in the United States. Four Presidents of the United States were members of the Whig Party. Considered integral to the Second Party System and operating from the early 1830s to the mid-1850s,[1] the party was formed in opposition to the policies of President Andrew Jackson and his Democratic Party. In particular, the Whigs supported the supremacy of Congress over the Presidency and favored a program of modernization and economic protectionism. This name was chosen to echo the American Whigs of 1776, who fought for independence, and because “Whig” was then a widely recognized label of choice for people who identified as opposing tyranny.[2] The Whig Party counted among its members such national political luminaries as Daniel Webster, William Henry Harrison, and their preeminent leader, Henry Clay of Kentucky. In addition to Harrison, the Whig Party also nominated war hero generals Zachary Taylor and Winfield Scott.
In its two decades of existence, the Whig Party had two of its candidates, William Henry Harrison and Zachary Taylor, elected President. Both died in office. John Tyler succeeded to the Presidency after Harrison’s death but was expelled from the party. Millard Fillmore, who became President after Taylor’s death, was the last Whig to hold the nation’s highest office.
The party was ultimately destroyed by the question of whether to allow the expansion of slavery to the territories. With deep fissures in the party on this question, the anti-slavery faction prevented the re-nomination of its own incumbent President Fillmore in the 1852 presidential election; instead, the party nominated General Winfield Scott. Most Whig party leaders thereupon quit politics (as Abraham Lincoln did temporarily) or changed parties. The northern voter base mostly joined the new Republican Party. By the 1856 presidential election, the party was virtually defunct…
As it happens, the transition from Whigs to Republicans in terms of electing a president cost only two presidential elections. The first Republican president, Abraham Lincoln, was elected in 1860. The rest, as they say, is history.
So the question becomes what trade are we willing to make for our children and grandchildren? Drive the moneychangers from the temple, or keep making loansharking deals with the moneychangers who salute the flag and kiss our particular babies?
I know. It comes down to how you feel about losing to Hillary in 2016. A hard, hard realization. Multiple questions to think about. Could we survive a Hillary presidency? Maybe. Her husband is still Bill, who knew how to compromise with the opposition because he valued success over ideology. You know Bill would be the ghost in the machine because Hillary herself is a cipher. If ObamaCare gets as bad as it inevitably will, maybe a Democrat IS the best bet to accomplish a bipartisan repeal and replace.
On the other hand, Bill could die at any time. Which would leave us with a know-it-all schoolmarm who doesn’t like or feel for most anyone, including and even especially the woman in the mirror.
Don’t know how I feel either. Talk to me. How long and patiently can you play the political game to save your children, your grandchildren and the Constitution from a humiliating, impoverishing fate?
Can you wait for 2024 to save your nation? Think about it.
Good post. Better question. Let me think on it a while before I answer.
A great post. But it’s hard to see where a Lincoln or Reagan will come from. Perhaps that’s how their contemporaries felt too. So many issues.
Responding with my gut — I think I can wait. It won’t be pretty, but things aren’t *that* bad — yet. They will get worse, and fast, and I think it’d be best if another Dem was holding the stick. They dodge and weave for now, but when lives of everyday Americans truly get worse, they need to be the ones who take the blame. Rightly so. If a Republican wins, we’ll go back to a president continually raked over the coals by the press, and when Obama’s terrible causes become effects, a Republican president would be such an easy scapegoat. Presidents should only get one chance to say ‘it was the fault of the guy before me’.
In the meantime, the people who have already started to turn on their false hero Obama — and I’m meeting more of them all the time — will be prime for a NEW party, one that could win. I’m not sure the current Republican party even can win, the turnout last year was just so disappointing.
My gut says that we’re still in the first half of the storm, not near the end. The tip of the iceberg, if you will.
Great post, I will keep thinking about it. My gut has nowhere near your track record. I know your first instinct is to kill-em-dead, as soon as possible, but patience and the long game might be our best (and only?) choice.
Great piece. I hadn’t seen those two issues juxtaposed quite like that.
I work in high tech, where there are a lot of immigrants who had to cross a globe, not a ditch, and worked really, really hard to get where they are. Those folks really don’t appreciate how so many non-educated, non-taxpaying people are looking to get a pass, while they had to spend lots of money and effort to do things the legal way — and are contributing far, far more to society in productivity and taxes. They’re a quiet bunch, but there are a lot of them and they’ve got money. It’ll be interesting to see if they kick in on this issue.
I’d love to see a 3rd party. It’s a tough go, though. The two gorillas have the game pretty well rigged, what with controlling the media access and money and all. The Whigs may well have had an easier time of it.
Then again, disgust with Congress is really, really high these days. I don’t know anyone who’s happy with they way they’re being represented.
The current state of affairs (perennial state of affairs?) reminds me of a Chesterton quote: “The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected.”
I won’t be voting for another McCain or Bush, even if that means Hillary wins the White House. Then again, I don’t know that any of these problems will be solved by voting. I fear the whole dissatisfaction with Congress will give rise to some dictator seizing power with the blessing of a majority of the people. Hell, Obama is more than halfway there already. “He’s so smart! If only he didn’t have to deal with red tape and the lesser minds of those obstructionist Republicans…”
Meanwhile, I’m holding my breath to find out how much we’ll have to pay in taxes for this year. We got raped last year so I can’t imagine things will be any better. My Republican governor was kind enough to enact an online sales tax a few months back to help out all the folks. I guess that’s like applying a little bit of lube before the next rape.